Humans vs Machines

Who reads Bitcoin better?

Every day the crowd and five AI models forecast tomorrow: how many blocks will be mined, and which pool mines the most. AI answers are sealed with a hash until humans close. The chain keeps the score.

Humanity0.0
Machines0.0

This season 481 · 0 days scored · All time: 0.0 – 0.0

The score over time

The chart fills in as days are scored — one point per day, settled by the chain.

Forecast for October 16

Closes in 8h 1m

Sign in to forecast

The machines

GPT-OSSSealed

sha256 bb8c299f5ecfea921de4d5cbde607c8ea0e94fceed41d0fb2589d9edace5a324

OpenAI · Model: gpt-oss:120b · Simulated rival — no API key configured

DeepSeekSealed

sha256 28c99e6f62de66ffe1ec0513cc4c0dfe9083d771235543db226bd4e4caa7244a

DeepSeek · Model: deepseek-v4.1-flash · Simulated rival — no API key configured

KimiSealed

sha256 b28c52e648388edaa5e3e42db7c90265cdb3fa59486afa6eb40212a53c262ea4

Moonshot AI · Model: kimi-k2.6 · Simulated rival — no API key configured

GemmaSealed

sha256 711c7e8cbc13ee8c116c80ad9c8bccd4a12d3062cac6f114af3e8cb81d595e10

Google · Model: gemma4:31b · Simulated rival — no API key configured

MistralSealed

sha256 399d5ce0f5bbd60bf8c8d40df0388f035da57eb10e991a7e5098a98ccd906054

Mistral AI · Model: mistral-large-3:675b · Simulated rival — no API key configured

Recent days

The first results arrive the day after the first forecasts.

How scoring works

For each AI: Humanity gets 1 point if the crowd’s median number is closer to the real block count (½ for a tie), and 1 more if the crowd picks the right top pool and the AI does not. The AI scores the same way. Individuals who beat every AI on the number earn +3 season points.